RE: Future of Histotec numbers
Well, your nudge back to
the original topic made me go looking. here are some pages from the ASCP webite.
Htere is not much specifically relating to histology, but you can extrapolate
from clinical lab figures.
The best overview for
general lab is:
It has some interesting
tidbits, especially in slide #28 showing ages of current lab personnel. It shows
that 25 percent of lab personnel are over age 50. So it is reasonalble to assume
we will lose at least 25 percent of the current personnel to retirement in the
next 20 years (not 50 -70 percent)
The author also argues that labs cannot
"buy" their way out of the shortage through higher salaries.
A site from American
Hospital Association on building a healthcare workforce
Here is a website
discussing the lack of people taking the ASCP registry exam;
and here is a paragraph
from that site:
<<Just how extensive is the shortage
of laboratory personnel? Kory Ward-Cook, PhD, MT (ASCP), FACB, Vice President of
the ASCP Board of Registry in Chicago, Ill., says that although ASCP is
certifying about 2,400 medical technologists a year. The number of new MTs has
fallen from 5,318 graduates in 1983 to 2,491 in 1999. The 2000 national vacancy
rate for MT staff is now at 11.1%. The ASCP estimates that as a result of the
retirements that are anticipated in the field of clinical laboratory medicine
over the next 5 to 10 years, there will continue to be a need for an additional
4,000 to 5,000 people on an annual basis. "When we combine those two
factors-more people retiring and fewer people coming into the profession-we're
really looking at a major workforce shortage heading our way," she explains.
And here is something
about a prospective study by the ASCP
I am glad to see everyone is as interested as I am in the future, the
only thing is that I have no pointers to where I can find definitive
information on specific facts and figures. I would like pointers on where to
look or names of actual studies.
Again thanks in advance
A. Kevin Williams
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