Re: digital imaging
From: | Philip Oshel <peoshel@facstaff.wisc.edu> |
A good question, but not something to worry about, for several reasons.
First, CD-ROMs and CD players/burners are much cheaper to produce
than DVDs and DVD players/burners. These prices can be expected to
drop, however.
Second, while DVDs are great for massive storage, they are not
getting much use other than in the consumer video market. Meaning
that the computers being sold with DVDs are mostly being used to play
CD-ROMs. Even the computer game market isn't using DVDs. The capacity
isn't needed enough to justify the added expense. DVDs will find a
place among imaging professionals and folks who need mass data
backup, but that's likely it. But that means microscopists and the
like.
Third, CD-ROMs have a massive installed consumer base. Mostly in
audio CDs, yes, but as long as those are around, then CD players that
can read computer data will be around. There is no reason to believe
that CD players are going away. Current MP3 standards might allow
reasonable compression of music, but the music quality is noticeably
degraded. This means that people will still prefer CDs for music, and
this will maintain the user base. Also, people who use MP3 players
also use CDs. All of this means CDs will be around for many years.
MP3 players and chips and other solid-state data storage devices also
require power (battery, etc.) to maintain the data. CDs (and DVDs)
don't.
Fourth, CDs are better for sharing information than any other media
yet developed. Plenty of capacity for images and stuff, but not huge
like DVDs. Most people don't mind burning a CD with only 10 or 30 or
so MB of images to give to a colleague or journal, CDs being so
cheap, but who wants to spend $9 (or even $5) to burn 30 MB or even 5
or 600 MB of data and leave 4.5 or more GB blank?
Lastly, the physical medium of good quality CDs, while still cheap,
has a reasonable lifetime of decades or more. (Cheap CDs don't, and
CD-RWs don't.) The dye technology of DVDs isn't the same as for CDs,
so the lifetime of DVDs is questionable for now. A storage medium
with a long lifetime will encourage the continued existence of
players and recorders for that medium. No storage medium other than
CD-ROM has this kind of lifetime.
Mind, future developments in solid-state data storage could make all
of this fatuous nonsense.
Phil
just sitting here pondering my navel and a thought occured to me. i was
thinking of the furure of the CD -rom with the advances in DVD tech. any
thoughts?
--
}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}{{{{{{{{{{{{{{{{{
Philip Oshel
Supervisor, AMFSC and BBPIC microscopy facilities
Department of Animal Sciences
University of Wisconsin
1675 Observatory Drive
Madison, WI 53706 - 1284
voice: (608) 263-4162
fax: (608) 262-5157 (dept. fax)
<< Previous Message | Next Message >>